2022 Ohio State football on the HG

2022 Ohio State football on the HG

Jake Wimberly

What’s to like:

Much like Alabama - there isn’t a lot to not like about this Ohio State football team. CJ Stroud is a flat stud at quarterback, their backfield is as good as any in the country and they are loaded across the board.

Ryan Day has a great coaching staff and this team should be better than every team they line up against on Saturday’s this fall.

What’s not to like:

Defense - the Buckeyes have to be better defensively or they are gonna get popped along the way at some point. The Buckeyes gave up 100 points in their last two games alone and need to really improve on a unit that was 43rd nationally a year ago on defensive scoring efficiency.

The Buckeyes are right behind Alabama in Vegas and if the Buckeyes want to challenge the Tide this year, it’s gonna be the defense that really gives them a shot.


What does the Hourglass Say?

2022 Ohio State 12-0; 9-0 - Champion of the BIG 1-

Four-year analytic percentage on Alabama = 87 percent

 

 2021 Ohio State Analytics –

Hour Glass National Recruiting Ranking (three-year metric): Ohio State - 3rd – Inside our Realistic College Football Playoff bust line. Ohio State has the talent to win the National Championship from a talent perspective.

National Coaching Ranking - Ryan Day on HG Scale: 3rd in the country (Ryan Day 2022 coaching value set at (33) – Average coaching value for 2022 set at 8.23 – Day is considered elite on the HG.

ODE Analytics – NOTE: ODE is our offensive and defensive scoring efficiency ranking for each team. We use a two-year evaluation of each program.

Ohio State ranks 17th in the country in our 2022 ODE evaluation.

Quarterback Play: Ohio State has the 2nd best quarterback situation in the country going into the season. Their value is set at (42.4). Our national average for average quarterback play is 14.59. Ohio State quarterback play is set above average on our national scale.

Impact Ball Catcher Metric: Ranking the teams wide receiver play - and do they have quality, impact wide receivers. Ohio State ranks 10th in the country.


From Vegas:

Ohio State ATS in 2021: 6-6-1

Ohio State at home: 4-3

Ohio State as a road team: 2-2-1

Ohio State on a neutral site: 0-1

Ohio State in games played with totals (over/under): 8-5


FINAL THOUGHTS:

If there was no Alabama - Ohio State would be the class of college football in 2022. But, this Ohio State team has all the makings of a team that can challenge and even beat Alabama on a given night.

If the defense improves, that’s bad news for the BIG 10 and most anyone else who sets foot on a field with the Buckeyes in 2022.

Look for the table to be set for the Buckeyes and a deep run towards a possible championship this year.

2022 Schedule Analysis:

Red signifies possible one possession games.



Projected Win Totals for Every Power Five College Football Team in 2022

Projected Win Totals for Every Power Five College Football Team in 2022

2022 Alabama football projections on the HG

2022 Alabama football projections on the HG