2022 Alabama football projections on the HG

Jake Wimberly

What’s to like:

What’s not to like about this Alabama team? They return the Heisman Trophy winner in Bryce Young, the best overall player in Will Anderson and a ton of talent on both sides of the ball.

Alabama is going to be on a mission and they are a heavy favorite in Vegas to go wire to wire, number one team in the country. Nick Saban has a chip on his shoulder and normally when this happens, it’s not good for the rest of college football.

What’s not to like:

If there is one weak link, it’s how good is the offensive front? Alabama struggled at times protecting the passer and needs to really shore that unit up.

Also - while there is talent at wide receiver, how quickly can this team jell into a high level unit? Also can the kicking game be solid to really good? Any time we see a really great team faulter, it normally falls in the special teams. The Tide needs to make sure the third phase is super clean.

What does the Hourglass Say?

2022 Alabama 12-; 8-0 - Champion of the SEC

Four-year analytic percentage on Alabama = 91 percent

2021 Alabama Analytics –

Hour Glass National Recruiting Ranking (three-year metric): Alabama - 1st – Inside our Realistic College Football Playoff bust line. Alabama has the talent to win the National Championship from a talent perspective.

National Coaching Ranking - Nick Saban on HG Scale: 1st in the country (Nick Saban 2022 coaching value set at (36) – Average coaching value for 2022 set at 8.23 – Saban is considered elite on the HG.

ODE Analytics – NOTE: ODE is our offensive and defensive scoring efficiency ranking for each team. We use a two-year evaluation of each program.

Alabama ranks 3rd in the country in our 2022 ODE evaluation.

Quarterback Play: Alabama has the 1st best quarterback situation in the country going into the season. Their value is set at (45.8). Our national average for average quarterback play is 14.59. Alabama quarterback play is set above average on our national scale.

Impact Ball Catcher Metric: Ranking the teams wide receiver play - and do they have quality, impact wide receivers. Alabama ranks 21st in the country.

From Vegas:

Alabama ATS in 2021: 8-7

Alabama at home: 4-3

Alabama as a road team: 1-3

Alabama on a neutral site: 3-1

Alabama in games played with totals (over/under): 7-8

FINAL THOUGHTS:

This has all the makings of a great Nick Saban led Alabama team. From experience on both sides of the ball, to explosive playmakers and talent galore.

The Tide will be tested along the way, but anything less than a National Championship in 2022 would be a disappointment in Tuscaloosa. This could be one of the best teams Saban has had since at Alabama, which speaks volumes.