2024 Missouri Predictions on the HG
Jake Wimberly
Michael Odie Contributing
What’s to Like:
Missouri has had solid recruiting over the past few years. Their recruiting gives them the chance to be a CFB playoff bust.
Brady Cook ranked fourth in the SEC in passing yards. Cook threw for 21 touchdowns to only 6 interceptions. Cook also added 8 rushing touchdowns. Cook could take a major step forward from a great season.
Luther Burden is an exciting player on the Missouri roster. Burden ranked third in the SEC last season with 1,212 receiving yards. Burden is an electric playmaker that can be used anywhere on the field.
The transfer portal has helped Missouri a lot as they have added solid players.
What’s Not to Like:
The Tigers lost their leading rusher last season in Cody Schrader to the NFL. Schrader ran for 1,627 yards last season and recorded 14 touchdowns.
Missouri also lost their sack leader, Darius Robinson to the NFL. Robinson recorded 8.5 sacks for Missouri last season.
The Tigers lost their leading tackler, Jaylon Carlies to the NFL draft. Carlies had 64 tackles for the Tigers last season.
Hourglass Prediction:
2024 Texas A&M - SEC (8-4)
Four year analytical percentage of Missouri = 84%
2024 Analytics:
National Recruiting Ranking (three-year metric): 22nd, within the CFB playoff bust range.
National Coaching Ranking: Eliah Drinkwitz - 37th in the country, 10th in SEC; 2024 coaching value= 6.5 (average 2023 Power 5 coaching value= 8.35) Eliah Drinkwitz is just below the national average. Drinkwitz has an overall coach record of 28-21 with Missouri. He led Missouri to a 11-2 record in 2023.
ODE Analytics for 2023 Nationally:
Offensive Rank-11th
Defensive Rank-18th
Quarterback Play: Brady Cook - Ranked 19th in the Power 5, Ranked 5th in the SEC, 2024 QB Value = 20.3. Well above the Power 5 average of 14.78.
Impact Ball Catcher Metric: Missouri has a rating of 0 of 0-10. Their receiving room does not make as many impactful catches as other programs.
From Vegas:
Missouri ATS in 2023: 9-4
Missouri at home: 3-4
Missouri on the road: 4-0
Missouri at neutral site: 2-0
Final Thoughts:
The Missouri Tigers have a good roster that can compete in the SEC this season. Their offense will be led by Brady Cook and Luther Burden III who both can have amazing seasons. Their already explosive offense could potentially be even more lethal. The Hourglass Prediction has the Tigers going 8-4. This would be a step backward compared to going 11-2 last season. This could be back to back good seasons for the Tigers, as they try to improve their program.
2024 Schedule Analysis:
Projected Hourglass W/L record: Games in red denote games that could be a one possession game or even a different outcome than projection.
