2021 LSU football predictions on the HG

Apr 26

Apr 26 2021 LSU football predictions on the HG

Jake Wimberly

What’s to like:

Talent - the Tigers have talent and in many places.

LSU comes in with the third best roster talent in the country on our three year talent metric and return one of the best secondary’s in the country, led by Eli Ricks and Jay Ward.

The Tigers are deep at quarterback and should have a really good one, two punch in Myles Brennan and Max Johnson.

Kayshon Bouttle leads a talented group of young wide receivers for LSU and the Tigers return most of their running back production - one that saw 1217 yards and nine touchdowns a year ago.

What’s not to like:

Turnover - coaching turnover galore as the Tigers will be breaking in new offensive and defensive coaches. Ed Orgeron’s team took some steps back a year ago, and will look for consistency between the headsets with new blood on both sides of the ball.

Also, lots of noise off the field with several pending issues that may end up being a distraction down the road. The Tigers need to clean up and get beyond noise off the field in 2021.

What does the Hourglass Say?

2021 LSU pick: 10-2, 6-2 in the SEC; 2nd place tie finish in the west.

Four-year analytic percentage on LSU= 86 percent

2021 LSU Analytics –

Hour Glass National Recruiting Ranking (three-year metric): 4th – Inside our Realistic College Football Playoff bust line. LSU has the talent on their roster to make the College Football Playoff and win the National Championship.

National Coaching Rank for Ed Orgeron on HG Scale: 11th (Ed Orgeron 2021 coaching value set at (14) – Average coaching value for 2021 set at 7.1. – Orgeron is considered above average on our metric.

ODE Analytics – NOTE: ODE is our offensive and defensive scoring efficiency ranking for each team. We use a two-year evaluation of each program.

LSU ranks 13th in the country in our 2021 ODE evaluation. Offensively they have a ranking of 9th in the country and defensively 17th in the country.

Quarterback Play: LSU has the 29th best quarterback situation in the country going into the season. Their value is set at (9.14). Our national average for average quarterback play is 9.10. LSU is considered average at the position to start the year.

Impact Ball Catcher Metric: Ranking the teams wide receiver play - and do they have quality, impact wide receivers. LSU ranks 14th in the country.

FINAL THOUGHTS:

LSU took a major dip last year, coming off the National Championship; - but that was expected with the attrition on the team.

The goal of the team this year is to get back to being in the conversation in November of being a true competitor with Alabama and the likes in the SEC.

If the Tigers can find stability in the coordinators and solidify their quarterback position, LSU could be in a great position to knock off Alabama and win the West in 2021.

Projected Hour Glass W/L record: Games in red denote games that could be a one possession game or even a different outcome than projection.