2025 Indiana Predictions on the HG
Jake Wimberly
Ross Gaskin Contributing:
What’s to like:
Curt Cignetti and his Indiana Hoosiers are coming off their best season EVER. The Hoosiers had their best record ever and made their first playoff appearance, and they will have a young QB transferring from Cal who will be looking to continue the winning. Fernando Mendoza in 2024, with Cal, threw for 3,004 yards and 16 TDs.
The new Hoosier QB will have himself a terrific duo of WRs to throw to with Elijah Sarratt and Omar Cooper Jr. These WRs in 2024 combined for 1,551 receiving yards and 15 TDs. That Hoosier defense will also be geared up for a good season as they have returning star DL Mikail Kamara after a season where he racked up 47 tackles, 15 TFLs, 10 sacks, and 2 FFs.
What’s not to like:
The Indiana Hoosiers will sadly be without their leader and star QB Kurtis Rourke. After a season where Rourke threw for 3,042 yards and 29 TDs, he will be leaving as he is expected to be picked in the upcoming NFL Draft. However, Rourke is not the only player on offense who will be departing from Indiana.
The Hoosiers will be losing a total of 3 QBs, 4 RBs, 6 WRs, 3 TEs, and 5 OLs. Head Coach Curt Cignetti did a good job at bringing in guys as replacements, but there are so many holes that still need to be filled on both sides of the ball. Hopefully, for Indiana’s sake, these needs can be met and they can have another great season.
What does the Hourglass say?
Indiana- Big 10 (9-3)
Power ranking 131.61. 3rd toughest schedule in the Big 10.
2025 Indiana Analytics
National recruiting rating (three year metric): #9- inside the boundary of a National Championship Roster.
National Coaching Ranking:
Curt Cignetti- 24th in Power 5 and 7th in the Big 10.
2024 coaching value= 10 (average 2025 Power 5 coaching value=9.3) Curt Cignetti ranks middle of the pack for coaches in college football.
ODE analytics 2024 Nationally:
Offensive Ranking: 4th
Defensive Ranking: 20th
Quarterback Play: Mendoza- ranked 27th in the Power 4, 5th in the Big 10; 2024 QB value= 13.8 (Power 4 average- 14.41)
Impact Ball Catcher Metric: Indiana has an Impact Ball Catcher Metric of 3. This puts the Hoosiers at the upper level for the Big 10 in this metric.
From Vegas:
Indiana ATS in 2024: 10-6
Indiana at home: 5-4
Indiana on the road: 2-2
Indiana neutral site: 3-0
Final thoughts:
The Indiana Hoosiers might have, in a single season, become a legit football school instead of only being known for basketball. Curt Cignetti and his Hoosiers seemingly could do no wrong in 2024, and they have potential to make another season unforgettable in 2025. It will be tough to do so with all the players who will be leaving, but they still have some good talent and will be a fun team to watch.
2025 Schedule analysis:
Projected Hourglass W/L record: Games in red denote games that could be a one possession game or even a different outcome than projection.
Editors Note: All photos courtesy of 247sports.com
